Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 8.370513 9.568258 10.888690 12.454336 14.262690 16.288843 18.735421
2025-08-31 6.586684 8.098804 9.899322 12.208474 15.101824 18.620868 23.246113
2025-09-07 5.842891 7.570886 9.746105 12.699930 16.629198 21.707802 28.820320
2025-09-14 5.192286 7.019067 9.424711 12.847588 17.630316 24.131104 33.730529
2025-09-21 4.634048 6.495383 9.043087 12.816963 18.319739 26.134633 38.223503
2025-09-28 4.150278 6.005797 8.633677 12.667878 18.778137 27.803741 42.362974
2025-10-05 3.908346 5.827567 8.634323 13.091112 20.089512 30.822083 48.844948
2025-10-12 3.676413 5.634246 8.583150 13.413845 21.257327 33.713108 55.431228
2025-10-19 3.506546 5.514657 8.624662 13.871975 22.667391 37.108518 63.214196
2025-10-26 3.184162 5.122062 8.197362 13.522552 22.702540 38.226657 67.205913
2025-11-02 2.935905 4.825589 7.895015 13.343960 22.994325 39.785613 72.121495
2025-11-09 2.722606 4.567364 7.630808 13.199620 23.320060 41.417080 77.328002
2025-11-16 2.515758 4.305717 7.343385 12.995795 23.533334 42.893436 82.473903
2025-11-23 2.321373 4.049340 7.043009 12.739107 23.620408 44.138891 87.311616
2025-11-30 2.264588 4.030843 7.158767 13.253434 25.203920 48.376134 98.666535
2025-12-07 2.159603 3.915660 7.088741 13.407976 26.100593 51.355421 107.765801
2025-12-14 2.038379 3.760275 6.930821 13.375922 26.618087 53.616753 115.590242
2025-12-21 1.911914 3.584877 6.720596 13.219888 26.863616 55.333901 122.410181
2025-12-28 1.868102 3.564309 6.804789 13.662865 28.397267 59.924117 136.330504
2026-01-04 1.814288 3.519624 6.837376 14.000683 29.736984 64.230171 150.139387
2026-01-11 1.778582 3.507906 6.933938 14.480270 31.431745 69.501196 166.965880
2026-01-18 1.658399 3.315906 6.649356 14.114477 31.197413 70.346435 172.912501
2026-01-25 1.564954 3.172339 6.454183 13.927529 31.352631 72.112458 181.428309